Dissecting the SONA

Why Philippine presidents say what they say in the State of the Nation Address

By Prinz Magtulis
June 30, 2023

Actions speak louder than words, or so the cliche goes, but that is not the case when you are president when everything you say carries the weight of power and authority.
This power is amplified every fourth Monday of July when the president delivers the State of the Nation Address (SONA). Under the Constitution, the SONA opens a new session of Congress, but in reality, it is a yearly spectacle where lawmakers in their formal attire arrive to a red carpet at the House of Representatives to listen to the president, who speaks for hours behind a lectern.
An analysis of the SONA from the Philippine Commonwealth showed that this annual presidential speech contains an average of over 7,600 words, which takes approximately about an hour to deliver. It tends to be heavily interrupted by applause from a live audience that includes foreign dignitaries, and can cover a wide spectrum of topics from the government's socioeconomic agenda to jokes, both the good and bad ones, all dependent on the whim of the president.
The SONA has no time limit, so some speak more than the others: Rodrigo Duterte holds the record of having the longest SONA among all Philippine leaders post-dictatorship. The current president, Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr., delivered his first SONA using 7,990 words, running an hour and 10 minutes in 2022.

Marcos Sr. spoke the longest, Arroyo shortest

Word count of the text of the State of the Nation Address by Philippine presidents, arranged by succession

Average

7,647 words

Below average

Above average

Manuel Quezon

Sergio Osmena

Manuel Roxas

Elpidio Quirino

Ramon

Magsaysay

Carlos Garcia

Diosdado

Macapagal

Ferdinand

Marcos Sr.

Corazon Aquino

Fidel Ramos

Joseph Estrada

Shortest SONA was in 2005 with 1,590 words

Gloria Arroyo

Benigno

Aquino III

Rodrigo Duterte

Ferdinand

Marcos Jr.

0

10,000

20,000

30,000 words

Average

7,647 words

Manuel Quezon

Below average

Above average

Sergio Osmena

Manuel Roxas

Elpidio Quirino

Ramon Magsaysay

Carlos Garcia

Diosdado Macapagal

Ferdinand Marcos Sr.

Corazon Aquino

Fidel Ramos

Joseph Estrada

Gloria Arroyo

Benigno Aquino III

Rodrigo Duterte

Ferdinand Marcos Jr.

0

30,000 words

10,000

20,000

Average: 7,647 words

Manuel

Quezon

Below average

Above average

Sergio

Osmena

Manuel

Roxas

Elpidio

Quirino

Ramon

Magsaysay

Carlos

Garcia

Diosdado

Macapagal

Ferdinand

Marcos Sr.

Corazon

Aquino

Fidel

Ramos

Joseph

Estrada

Gloria

Arroyo

Benigno

Aquino III

Rodrigo

Duterte

Ferdinand

Marcos Jr.

0

10,000

20,000

30,000 words

Source: Official Gazette

But speech length is just one aspect of it. Charles Ladia, a professor who studies political communication at University of the Philippines, said some words carry more weight than others. Context is important as like any other speeches, the SONA is delivered with a political objective. This can be anything from pleading legislators for support to their agenda, diffusing tensions, or salvaging a waning political capital halfway through their six-year term.
"It is, of course, an agenda-setting speech," Manuel Quezon III, a historian and grandson of a former president, said. "So it must inform and then muster support."
The president also delivers the SONA before the Executive department submits its proposed budget to Congress. Under the charter, the budget should be submitted within 30 days from the SONA, making the speech a "sales pitch" of the president to legislators, the first chance to sell to Congress government programs for public funding.
This pitch generally looked and sounded the same through the years. SONA, after all, is historically a formal event, Ladia said. Most presidents spoke in English. Our analysis showed that some of the most common words that appeared in the SONA were "government," "people," "program," "congress", "time", and "development".

What presidents typically say

'Government', 'national', and 'development' are some of the most common words included in State of the Nation Address.

national

1,727

government

2,580

program

1,360

development

1,648

economic

1,288

growth

602

public

1,001

Filipino

433

welfare

264

change

198

poor

193

education

394

government

2,580

democracy

199

‘wala (none)’

215

people

1,641

labor

429

public

1,001

tax

573

program

1,360

Mindanao

254

national

1,727

‘wala (none)’

215

government

2,580

constitution

173

farmers

217

public

1,001

development

1,648

program

1,360

military

289

crisis

251

government

2,580

constitution

173

‘wala (none)’

215

national

1,727

roads

223

development

1,648

tax

573

congress

833

national

1,727

government

2,580

public

1,001

welfare

264

police

207

‘wala (none)’

215

constitution

173

Source: Official Gazette

However, how these words were used varied in context. For instance, saying "government" may either refer to the present or past administrations, especially for speeches that tend to highlight differences among past and present governments. A study, meanwhile, found that the frequent use of "development" implied that SONA traditionally "focused on the growth of the country" ("economic" is also often used), while "people" showed that presidents tried to portray they are addressing the people's needs.
That said, the same words could also be so generic, their frequent mention hardly meant anything relevant. To go deeper then, our analysis ran an algorithm that weighed how many times a word appeared on the document against the number of times these words appeared in a president's set of speeches. This statistical method is known as term frequency and inverse document frequency (TF-IDF).

One speech

One word

Less relevant

More relevant

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

One speech

One word

More relevant

Less relevant

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

One speech

One word

Less relevant

More relevant

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

The results of TF-IDF assess how relevant words are in a text. The example below uses the SONA of former president Gloria Arroyo from 2001 to 2009.

Our analysis showed that Arroyo still mentioned frequently common words like "government", and these were found somewhat relevant in some of her speeches.

However, there were more notable words found to carry more weight like "strong" and "republic" in 2002.

"Strong Republic" was one of Arroyo's political slogans, a bid to portray government stability amid a fiscal and economic crisis at the time.

Political messages were all over SONA. The late Benigno Aquino III had "Kayo ang boss ko (You are my bosses)" in 2010, referring to Filipinos and how he was accountable to them. "Wang-wang" also became a buzzword of his anti-corruption platform. A Filipino slang for a vehicle siren, Aquino in 2011 likened "wang-wang" on the road to government officials using their position to take advantage of the public.
Fidel Ramos went beyond political messaging and in 1993 launched "Philippines 2000" in his SONA, a socioeconomic program that opened the country's industries to foreign business. SONA was not only a venue to introduce new policies, but also to defend existing ones such as the expanded Value-Added Tax (VAT) law under Arroyo, and Duterte on his drug war – both of which were assesed to be relevant themes of their speeches.
Presidents also tackled the "crisis" that faced the nation such as "SARS" or the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in 2003 and most recently, "Covid" or the "pandemic" from 2020 to 2021. The abduction by of Angelo de la Cruz, an overseas Filipino worker in Afghanistan in 2004, was also a political crisis that Arroyo addressed in her 38-minute speech to Congress at the time.
Arroyo, who dogged a number of political controversies as president, delivered the shortest SONA so far, which ran for about 25 minutes. Quezon said this was intentional. "They pruned down her SONAs as the main point of them was not their contents, but her ability to survive to deliver them at all," he said. She acknowledged her "critics" in her last SONA when our analysis showed, other presidents would spend their longest time speaking to dangle their achievements, Ladia said.
At the same time, presidents also used their time behind the lectern to go on the offensive. Estrada waged an all-out war against the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) in Mindanao in 2000 (both "MILF" and "Mindanao" were among the more relevant words found in his speech then). Aquino blasted the Metropolitan Waterworks and Sewerage System for excessive bonuses of its officials, and Duterte criticized the "oligarchy".

What words matter in the SONA

Presidents use their annual SONA to launch or defend their government's agenda, push for a political message, and even attack or address their critics.

One speech

poverty - Estrada ran on a campaign that promised to eradicate poverty.

Mindanao- Estrada declared an all-out war against communist rebels in Mindanao.

One word

Less relevant

More relevant

Joseph Estrada

Gloria Arroyo

Benigno Aquino III

Rodrigo Duterte

Covid

national

department

government

Ferdinand Marcos

One speech

poverty - Estrada ran on a campaign that promised to eradicate poverty.

Mindanao- Estrada declared an all-out war against communist rebels in Mindanao.

One word

Less relevant

More relevant

Joseph Estrada

Gloria Arroyo

Benigno Aquino III

Rodrigo Duterte

Covid

department

national

government

Ferdinand Marcos

One speech

Mindanao- Estrada declared an all-out war against communist rebels in Mindanao.

One word

More relevant

Less relevant

Joseph Estrada

Gloria Arroyo

Benigno Aquino III

Rodrigo Duterte

Covid

department

government

national

Ferdinand Marcos

One speech

One word

More relevant

Less relevant

poverty - Estrada ran on a campaign to eradicate poverty.

Joseph Estrada

Gloria Arroyo

Benigno Aquino III

Rodrigo Duterte

Covid

Ferdinand Marcos

government

department

national

Note: Speeches are arranged chronologically. Headers and stopwords were disregarded.
Source: Official Gazette

Going off-script

These specific themes do not just accidentally land in the SONA. Months before the president delivers the address, the Office of the President gathers inputs from various government agencies to include in the draft of the speech. Not all get to the final version of the SONA, and presidents may even divert from the actual text while speaking. This was mostly the case for Duterte.
Duterte was fond of giving off-the-cuff remarks, and when he did, he uttered words that dictated the theme of his SONA – and policy. When he called out the so-called "oligarchy" in Philippine business in 2020, it did not matter that the meaning of the word was not clarified or defined. Cleve Arguelles, a political scientist at De La Salle University, said what mattered was the president was understood by "his own audience", people attracted to his brand of politics as being one with the masses.
In that SONA, he also doubled down on his attacks against broadcaster ABS-CBN Corp. The network caught Duterte's ire early on his term in 2016, and eventually lost its broadcasting franchise after Congress opted not to renew it in 2020. Duterte likewise attacked the mining industry in 2017, as well as the so-called "elite". He was one of the only three presidents who called out the "elite" in their SONA, apart from Estrada and Marcos Sr.

Calling out the 'elite'

Three Philippine presidents have criticized the so-called "elites" for their supposed power and influence in the country.

Source: Official Gazette

Duterte, who ran and won on a platform to supposedly end the dominance of "Imperial Manila," also "code switched" to Bisaya, the language in his hometown Davao. "The imagined relationship between Duterte and Filipinos is informal, personal, and even unmediated," Arguelles said.
Under Marcos Jr., the formal tone of the SONA returned last year, but Ladia said so far, his speech "lacked rhetorical power." His last SONA instead was highly leveraged on data, and no specific themes were prevalent, whether in his government's agenda or how he intended to address specific issues such as rising commodity prices. His most relevant words were "government" and "department", our analysis showed, which by themselves hardly meant anything significant.
Ladia said this could be a political strategy: by not directly addressing issues in his public appearances, Marcos gives less chance for critics to attack him. "It's like the less you talk, the less mistakes you commit," he said.
This is where his supporters, especially in social media, enter. By giving broad strokes in his SONA, Ladia said Marcos's supporters get to easily pass their interpretation of the president's statements that would fit their own narrative. They become a "mouthpiece" of the administration, while also attacking critics of the SONA for supposedly "twisting the president's words," Ladia said.
The Palace said Marcos will present "progress" his administration made in his next SONA on July 24. So far, the majority of Filipinos think he is doing a good job: 78% of respondents approved of Marcos's performance in the March survey of pollster Pulse Asia.
"He's letting things pass, which is sad but it is working for him," Ladia said.

With thanks to Dhrumil Mehta and Clare Trainor for data and visuals suggestions and edits. Process and details of the analysis is available in our Github repository, although the same is subject to update to include new findings that were included in the story.